Friday, September 05, 2008

Doha


Brazilian Foreign Policy, leaded by its Minister Celso Amorim is a disaster. Here goes a resumé of Amorim failures:

- Amorim indicated Luís Felipe de Seixas Corrêa to the presidency of the World Trade Organization in 2005. He lost. The only Latin-American country to vote in Brazil was Panamá;
- Also in 2005, he tried to put João Sayad in the presidency of the Inter-American Development Bank. Lost again. From its own partners in Mercosul, only Argentina voted for the Brazilian candidate;
- Amorim has been obsessed by the enlargement of the United Nations Security Council, and aimed for a permanent chair in the Council, something rejected by Argentina, México and Colombia;
- Lula, under the orientation of our External Relations Ministry travelled trough the Middle East, but didn’t visited the only democracy in the region: Israel;
- In 2005, Lula also organized a ridiculous Arab-South American Summit, uniting at the same table people like Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and Hugo Chávez;
- In 2006, Brazil voted against Israel in the Human Rights Council of the United Nations, but a year before refused to vote against the genocide leaders of Sudan, only because Amorim wanted Sudan’s support for his causes;
- Brazil also refused to consider the Colombian FARC as a terrorist organization, condemning Alvaro Uribe interventions and speeches against Ecuador and Venezuela;
- Brazil also recognized China as a ‘market economy’ when only about 30 countries did the same. Amorim was counting on China support for his ideas about the Security Council. Didn’t work.

The reasons for Amorim failures? Stupid anti-Americanism, arrogance, inferiority complex, leftist ideology, all that combined.
And now, the failure at Doha Round of the WTO.
Amorim put Brazil as a leader of the emergent economies of the G20, against the rich and protectionists G7 countries. Besides that, Brazil was betting all its hopes on the Doha Round. Under Amorim, the country didn’t negotiate separately with important markets as the United States or the European Union, like Chile and Uruguay did. We stayed behind, waiting for the WTO negotiations. Bad move.
In Genebra, at the conversations for the Doha Round, Amorim hastily approved Pascal Lamy’s final text for an agreement, turning its back to its major partners at the G20, Argentina, Índia and China. He sure did what he had to do. Brazilian agriculture representatives were sure that a bad agreement was better than no agreement at all.
At the end, that was no agreement and Brazil was seen like a traitor by the other G20 members. Amorim lost his bet. He declared after the end of the negotiations “God willing another September 11 will not be necessary”. What he means, is that the rich countries intransigence to negotiate causes misery in the poor countries, and the poor countries will react attacking rich countries with terrorism. And this man calls himself a diplomat.
The thought itself is a shine example of leftist stupidity that is dominating Brazilian internal and external policies. The victims of terrorism are actually transformed in the guilty ones, just like Brazilian drug dealers are treated as victims of an unfair society. It’s offensive to human intelligence and offensive the billions of Muslims that don’t use violence to achieve anything and the millions of poor Brazilians that work hard for their money without trafficking or kidnapping anyone.
If Brazil wants to continue as one of the major agribusiness commodities exporters in the world, we should lesson to someone that knows what he is talking about. Here are some advises of Pedro de Camargo Neto, former Secretary of Production and Commerce of the Agriculture Ministry and president of the Brazilian Pork Meat Exporters Association in an interview to Veja Magazine:
First of all, to invest (a lot) in health protection. US, Europe, Japan, South Korea, Canadá, the major import markets for agricultural products from Brazil are closed for health reasons. And that is an exclusive fault of Brazil, no one else’s. We are sure much beter now than 15 years ago, when we had 2.000 outbreaks of Foot and Mouth Disease per year for example. Now we have none. But that is a lot to be done, especially on the borders control, traceability and control of chemical residues. That only would open a lot of doors to Brazilian products.
Second, it will be easier to negotiate separately with business partners than in a meeting with over 150 countries.
Third, to invest in research. Brazil is producing 60% more of soyabeans per hectare now than in 1990, and 50% more ethanol per hectare than 20 years ago. Thanks to agriculture research.
So Brazil, despite of Doha, must go one producing. And while European and American producers get addicted to subsidies, Brazilian producers get more and more efficient and independent from governmental help. Time will tell which model shall prevail.

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